Valitas Recession Watch Third Quarter 2018

Posted By: Valitas Capital Partners

The Federal Reserve raised rates to 2 - 2.25% and signalled that the pace of increases will likely remain constant. One more increase is expected this year in December, and three increases are expected in 2019.

The Trump Administration's trade disputes with China, Canada, and Mexico will likely continue to escalate, potentially leading to slower growth and higher inflation.

Two-thirds of U.S. economists expect a recession by the end of 2020, with 41% of respondents pointing to trade policy as the biggest downside risk.

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